Chicago Sun-Times columnist Carol Marin today:
Women voters aren't warming to 'cool' Obama
July 30, 2008
BY CAROL MARIN Sun-Times Columnist
The Obama campaign has a woman problem. How big? How small? It's not clear, but in a close election, small can be big.
Terrific lede! Except ... Obama's polling among women actually IS quite clear, according to a Research 2000 poll released three days ago:
QUESTION: If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choices were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, John McCain, the Republican, Bob Barr, the Libertarian, or Ralph Nader, an Independent?
OBAMA MCCAIN BARR NADER OTHER UND
ALL 51% 39% 3% 2% 1% 4%
MEN 45% 45% 4% 2% 1% 3%
WOMEN 56% 34% 2% 2% 1% 5%
That's a 22-point lead among women overall, Ms. Marin.
But don't let a little thing like empirical evidence mess with the premise of the day's "Obama's got a [fill in the day's demographic] problem!" story. Especially when you have a whole lot of anectodotal crap to cram into a column somewhere, like how Michelle Obama pleaded for support in a roomful of well-off, well-dressed women who seemed disposed to vote for her husband, but hey ...there is still a woman problem, damn it, because the writer has to shoehorn in a little "human interest" crapola to justify her columninizing existence. Enter ... Sarah, angry McCain-supporter news junkie who thinks Obama is "like the organic chicken at lunch. Sleek, elegant, beautifully prepared. Too cool."
But the women Obama needs right now are the ones who do not dine downtown. They're the ones who can't afford organic anything, forced to choose between a gallon of gas and a gallon of milk because they can't buy both on the same day.
Women like Sarah.
What's particularly irritating about this column is that near the end, Marin actually does cite a poll ("The July 15 Quinnipiac University poll shows women overall backed Obama over McCain 55 percent to 36 percent.") ... yet we're delivered the stupid lede and premise anyway. So it's not even the case that she's unaware of how Obama is polling among women overall.
Yeah, Obama might have a woman problem, all right. It just might be Carol Marin.
Update by kos: For more context, check out the 2004 exit polls. Kerry won the female vote 51-48. So while Kerry won that vote by just three points, Obama leads that demographic by 22.
A real problem for Obama, yes.